Is adopting an “antifragile” approach to risk the key to thriving through disruption and volatility? Does your organization have an ‘antifragile’ mindset? BDO’s 2024 Global Risk Landscape shows that almost half of global business leaders believe their organizations have an antifragile approach to risk. But only 7% said their organizations were “risk welcoming” and only 19% said they were very proactive when dealing with risk. Is there a gap between the antifragile aspiration and reality?
According to the survey, “the more things change, the more they stay the same, as the old French saying goes. But not when it comes to risk. The more change takes place, the more risk that organizations face. And change is now happening at a faster and more frequent tempo than ever.”
The survey found that, “having mostly put COVID-19 in the rear-view mirror, businesses are experiencing déjà-vu, with supply chain risk back on the agenda amid rising global tensions. Attacks by Yemeni rebels mean cargo from Asia bound for Europe is being diverted around South Africa instead, adding weeks to journey times. Economic conditions also remain choppy, with organizations having to contend with inflationary pressures impacting production costs and their customers’ buying power.”
It adds that a wave of global elections is further adding to the uncertainty, particularly when it comes to regulation. “The pace of regulatory change has already quickened: organizations are often forced to comply with rules imposed not only by domestic regulators, but foreign ones too.”
For organizations to navigate this environment they must now be alive to the risks they face but agile enough to respond in a way that keeps their business moving forward. According to the survey. “Historically, most businesses have looked at risk in a negative way, as a threat to be minimized. But, in a time of constant change, they need to embrace risk to seek advantage if they want to avoid standing still. In other words, they need to view risk not as a threat, but as an opportunity.”
There can be opportunities for businesses to use risk to gain advantage and do social good, even in the most catastrophic of scenarios, the survey notes. “Consider the case of Hurricane Katrina. As it made landfall, government agencies couldn’t deploy resources and deliver supplies to stranded people, but companies like Walmart and Home Depot realized ahead of time that they could.
“Marshalling their people and stocking up on emergency supplies, these companies could see the opportunity within the risk to support local communities in their time of need. To adopt this mindset, businesses need to become more like downhill Olympic skiers. They need to be able to flow and adapt at speed and anticipate the challenges in their path to gain an advantage over their competitors. Those that don’t take this approach will come off worse for wear because they are too slow on their feet and can’t react fast enough.”
The survey also found that “the percentage of business leaders who see artificial intelligence as an opportunity for their organization dropped to 59% from 83% in 2023, possibly because of organizations trying to separate the hype from the reality and what it really means for their business.
"At first, everybody thought there was tons of opportunity with AI, but then people started getting into it and realized it's not as easy to implement because it's very overwhelming — there's just so much to do and so much to figure out," Kirstie Tiernan, data analytics practice leader,” said in the report.
Some organizations shelved their immediate AI plans once they began exploring its potential because they discovered they were not capable of using it.